England2025/26 season

Premier League Table

Live standings refreshed hourly. The xPtscolumn shows the model's expected points based on goal-scoring rates; the Δ column is actual minus expected — positive means over-performance, negative means under-performance.

Fixtures Finish-position probabilities Top scorer race xPts methodology

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	xPts	Δ	Form
1	Arsenal	37	25	7	5	69	26	+43	82	80.2	+1.8	LWWWW
2	Manchester City	37	23	9	5	76	33	+43	78	78.9	-0.9	WDWWD
3	Manchester United	37	19	11	7	66	50	+16	68	61.5	+6.5	WWWDW
4	Aston Villa	37	18	8	11	54	48	+6	62	54.9	+7.1	WLLDW
5	Liverpool	37	17	8	12	62	52	+10	59	57.6	+1.4	WWLDL
6	Bournemouth	37	13	17	7	57	53	+4	56	53.6	+2.4	WDWWD
7	Brighton	37	14	11	12	52	43	+9	53	57.0	-4.0	DWLWL
8	Chelsea	37	14	10	13	57	50	+7	52	55.6	-3.6	LLLDW
9	Brentford	37	14	10	13	54	51	+3	52	52.9	-0.9	DLWLD
10	Sunderland	37	13	12	12	40	47	-7	51	45.2	+5.8	LLDDW
11	Newcastle	37	14	7	16	53	53	0	49	50.9	-1.9	LLWDW
12	Everton	37	13	10	14	47	49	-2	49	49.2	-0.2	LLDDL
13	Fulham	37	14	7	16	45	51	-6	49	46.4	+2.6	DWLLD
14	Leeds	37	11	14	12	49	53	-4	47	48.0	-1.1	WDWDW
15	Crystal Palace	37	11	12	14	40	49	-9	45	43.9	+1.1	LLDLD
16	Nottingham Forest	37	11	10	16	47	50	-3	43	48.5	-5.5	WWWDL
17	Tottenham	37	9	11	17	47	57	-10	38	44.1	-6.1	DWWDL
18	West Ham	37	9	9	19	43	65	-22	36	36.7	-0.7	DWLLL
19	Burnley	37	4	9	24	37	74	-37	21	28.1	-7.1	LLLDL
20	Wolves	37	3	10	24	26	67	-41	19	23.7	-4.7	LLDLD

How xPoints is computed: for each team we average goals scored and conceded per match across the season, feed those rates into a Poisson model, derive a per-match expected-points value, and multiply by matches played. It's a goals-rate proxy — true shot-xG xPoints would require per-fixture stats aggregation that's outside the API budget right now. The methodology is consistent across every team in the table so the rankings remain meaningful.