England
Who's most likely to win the Premier LeagueGolden Boot, from 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Each player's current goals-per-90 rate is projected forward over their team's remaining fixtures, with minutes-per-appearance scaling the expected workload to match their actual usage pattern.
See the wider season picture in our Premier League final standings probabilities.
| Player | NT | G | xG | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 E. Haaland | 🇳🇴 | 26 | 26.7 | 100.0 | ||||
 Thiago | 🇧🇷 | 22 | 22.6 | 100.0 | ||||
 João Pedro | 🇧🇷 | 15 | 15.4 | 84.5 | 14.3 | 1.1 | ||
 O. Watkins | 🏴 | 14 | 14.4 | 4.1 | 41.0 | 34.9 | ||
 M. Gibbs-White | 🏴 | 14 | 14.4 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 36.4 | ||
 V. Gyökeres | 🇸🇪 | 14 | 14.4 | 4.7 | 15.4 | 11.2 | ||
 D. Calvert-Lewin | 🏴 | 14 | 14.4 | 3.8 | 10.3 | 13.8 | ||
 D. Welbeck | 🏴 | 13 | 13.4 | 0.9 | 2.5 | |||
 E. Kroupi | 🇫🇷 | 12 | 12.4 | |||||
 H. Ekitike | 🇫🇷 | 11 | 11.4 |
