England2025/26 season

League Two Table

Live standings refreshed hourly. The xPtscolumn shows the model's expected points based on goal-scoring rates; the Δ column is actual minus expected — positive means over-performance, negative means under-performance.

Fixtures Finish-position probabilities Top scorer race xPts methodology

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	xPts	Δ	Form
1	Bromley	46	24	15	7	71	46	+25	87	80.6	+6.4	WLDLW
2	Milton Keynes Dons	46	24	14	8	86	45	+41	86	90.7	-4.7	DWWWD
3	Cambridge United	46	22	16	8	66	33	+33	82	87.3	-5.3	WDLWD
4	Salford City	46	25	6	15	61	51	+10	81	70.0	+11.1	WWDWD
5	Notts County	46	24	8	14	74	52	+22	80	78.3	+1.7	LWDWD
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71	56	+15	79	73.5	+5.5	DWWLD
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74	50	+24	78	79.7	-1.7	WWDLD
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70	53	+17	76	74.9	+1.1	WWWWW
9	Swindon Town	46	22	9	15	70	59	+11	75	70.7	+4.3	WLDLL
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60	44	+16	68	74.4	-6.4	LLLLW
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64	58	+6	67	67.2	-0.2	WLLLD
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62	49	+13	66	72.1	-6.1	WWLLW
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56	56	0	65	62.7	+2.3	LLWLL
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56	65	-9	62	56.7	+5.3	WWWWD
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57	58	-1	61	62.1	-1.1	LWDDD
16	Accrington ST	46	14	11	21	47	58	-11	53	54.4	-1.4	LLDDL
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53	72	-19	53	50.2	+2.8	DLLLW
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53	79	-26	52	46.2	+5.8	WWLLL
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42	69	-27	49	43.7	+5.3	LWDDL
20	Newport County	46	12	7	27	48	77	-29	43	43.8	-0.8	LWLWW
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54	79	-25	41	47.0	-6.0	DLWLD
22	Crawley Town	46	8	16	22	44	68	-24	40	45.8	-5.8	LLDDD
23	Harrogate Town	46	10	9	27	39	68	-29	39	41.9	-2.9	LLWWL
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45	78	-33	36	41.0	-5.0	LWLLL

How xPoints is computed: for each team we average goals scored and conceded per match across the season, feed those rates into a Poisson model, derive a per-match expected-points value, and multiply by matches played. It's a goals-rate proxy — true shot-xG xPoints would require per-fixture stats aggregation that's outside the API budget right now. The methodology is consistent across every team in the table so the rankings remain meaningful.