England2025/26 season

League One Table

Live standings refreshed hourly. The xPtscolumn shows the model's expected points based on goal-scoring rates; the Δ column is actual minus expected — positive means over-performance, negative means under-performance.

Fixtures Finish-position probabilities Top scorer race xPts methodology

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	xPts	Δ	Form
1	Lincoln	46	31	10	5	89	41	+48	103	95.2	+7.8	WDWWW
2	Cardiff	46	27	10	9	90	50	+40	91	89.5	+1.5	DWWWL
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71	58	+13	77	72.1	+4.9	DLWLW
4	Bradford	46	22	11	13	58	51	+7	77	67.7	+9.3	LDDDW
5	Bolton	46	19	18	9	70	52	+18	75	75.6	-0.6	LWDDL
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49	46	+3	75	64.4	+10.6	LDWDW
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68	56	+12	74	71.4	+2.6	WDWWW
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75	63	+12	73	71.4	+1.6	DWDWW
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74	64	+10	67	70.0	-3.0	DDDLW
10	Mansfield Town	46	16	17	13	62	50	+12	65	71.4	-6.4	DWWDW
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69	58	+11	63	70.7	-7.7	LDLLW
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64	60	+4	63	65.8	-2.8	LLLDL
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54	65	-11	60	55.2	+4.8	LWWWW
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50	69	-19	60	49.8	+10.2	WWLDW
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68	73	-5	59	60.2	-1.2	DLLWL
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49	58	-9	56	55.9	+0.1	WWDLL
17	Burton Albion	46	13	15	18	50	60	-10	54	55.4	-1.4	DWDDD
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64	68	-4	53	60.6	-7.6	LDLDL
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51	72	-21	53	48.8	+4.2	LLLWL
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59	71	-12	52	55.2	-3.2	LDLLD
21	Exeter City	46	12	13	21	52	61	-9	49	56.3	-7.3	WDDDL
22	Port Vale	46	10	12	24	36	61	-25	42	43.5	-1.5	DLLWL
23	Rotherham	46	10	11	25	41	71	-30	41	41.8	-0.8	LWLDL
24	Northampton	46	9	8	29	39	74	-35	35	38.7	-3.7	LLLLL

How xPoints is computed: for each team we average goals scored and conceded per match across the season, feed those rates into a Poisson model, derive a per-match expected-points value, and multiply by matches played. It's a goals-rate proxy — true shot-xG xPoints would require per-fixture stats aggregation that's outside the API budget right now. The methodology is consistent across every team in the table so the rankings remain meaningful.