Netherlands2025/26 season

Eredivisie Table

Live standings refreshed hourly. The xPtscolumn shows the model's expected points based on goal-scoring rates; the Δ column is actual minus expected — positive means over-performance, negative means under-performance.

Fixtures Finish-position probabilities Top scorer race xPts methodology

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	xPts	Δ	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101	45	+56	84	77.4	+6.6	WWDWW
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	+26	65	63.4	+1.6	DWWDW
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	+24	59	61.5	-2.5	DDDLW
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	+19	58	59.5	-1.5	WDDWL
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	+21	56	60.7	-4.7	WWDLD
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	+13	53	55.5	-2.5	WLWWW
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	+7	52	51.5	+0.5	WDDDD
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	+4	51	49.6	+1.4	LWWLD
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	+4	48	49.4	-1.4	DLLWW
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43	32.8	+10.2	LLDLL
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39	38.4	+0.6	DLLWL
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	+1	38	47.6	-9.6	DDDLL
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38	38.2	-0.2	DWWDW
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37	43.0	-6.0	LWDWW
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37	30.9	+6.1	DLWLL
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32	33.0	-1.0	LWLDL
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29	31.4	-2.4	DLLWD
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19	19.7	-0.7	LLLLL

How xPoints is computed: for each team we average goals scored and conceded per match across the season, feed those rates into a Poisson model, derive a per-match expected-points value, and multiply by matches played. It's a goals-rate proxy — true shot-xG xPoints would require per-fixture stats aggregation that's outside the API budget right now. The methodology is consistent across every team in the table so the rankings remain meaningful.