England2025/26 season

Championship Table

Live standings refreshed hourly. The xPtscolumn shows the model's expected points based on goal-scoring rates; the Δ column is actual minus expected — positive means over-performance, negative means under-performance.

Fixtures Finish-position probabilities Top scorer race xPts methodology

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	xPts	Δ	Form
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97	45	+52	95	96.6	-1.6	DDWWW
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80	47	+33	84	85.7	-1.7	DWDDW
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64	49	+15	83	73.6	+9.4	WDWDL
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82	56	+26	80	80.6	-0.6	DDWDW
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72	47	+25	80	80.6	-0.6	WWDDL
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70	66	+4	73	66.0	+7.0	DLWDW
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69	65	+4	71	66.0	+5.0	LWWLD
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67	59	+8	69	68.6	+0.4	LWLWL
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63	56	+7	65	67.9	-2.9	LWWDL
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57	56	+1	64	63.5	+0.6	WDWWD
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57	59	-2	64	61.4	+2.6	WLWDW
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59	59	0	62	62.9	-0.9	DLDLW
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66	66	0	60	63.3	-3.3	WWLLW
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55	62	-7	60	57.9	+2.1	WLLWL
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61	73	-12	58	55.4	+2.6	DLLLL
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53	65	-12	57	54.5	+2.5	LLLLL
17	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5	55	58.9	-3.9	DLLLL
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49	64	-15	55	52.1	+2.9	WWLWD
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44	58	-14	53	51.9	+1.1	LDLWL
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42	56	-14	52	51.6	+0.4	DLDWL
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48	58	-10	51	55.1	-4.1	DWWDL
22	Oxford United	46	11	14	21	45	59	-14	47	52.1	-5.1	WLLWL
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58	68	-10	46	56.3	-10.3	LLDDW
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29	89	-60	0	24.9	-24.9	DDLLW

How xPoints is computed: for each team we average goals scored and conceded per match across the season, feed those rates into a Poisson model, derive a per-match expected-points value, and multiply by matches played. It's a goals-rate proxy — true shot-xG xPoints would require per-fixture stats aggregation that's outside the API budget right now. The methodology is consistent across every team in the table so the rankings remain meaningful.