FBref (Football Reference) is the deepest free football statistics database available — per-90 xG, xA, PPDA, progressive passes, and historical match logs across all major leagues. KiqIQ is the analytical decision layer: the Poisson model, calculators, and guides that turn FBref data into betting decisions. They are designed to be used together.
FBref is one of the most genuinely useful football data resources on the internet. Its per-90 player statistics and team-level xG data are among the best freely available anywhere. KiqIQ does not attempt to replicate this — instead, it provides the analytical framework (Poisson model, EV calculator, bet tracker, guides) that converts FBref raw data into structured betting decisions. These tools are complementary: FBref is the data source, KiqIQ is the decision engine.
| Feature | KiqIQ | FBref |
|---|---|---|
| Football-specific analytical framework | ✓ | — |
| Poisson distribution model | ✓ | — |
| 28 free betting calculators | ✓ | — |
| Bet tracker with ROI and P&L | ✓ | — |
| Expected Value framework | ✓ | — |
| Kelly criterion staking | ✓ | — |
| 93+ strategy and competition guides | ✓ | — |
| Football glossary (130+ terms) | ✓ | — |
| Responsible gambling tools | ✓ | — |
| Deep per-90 player statistics (xG, xA, progressive passes) | — | ✓ |
| Match logs for every player and team | — | ✓ |
| Historical data going back 10+ years | — | ✓ |
| Squad-level shot maps and possession metrics | — | ✓ |
| PPDA and pressing statistics | — | ✓ |
| Set piece analysis and dead ball data | — | ✓ |
FBref publishes xG for and against for every team across all major leagues — updated after each matchday. These per-90 xG values are the direct inputs for the KiqIQ Poisson calculator. Pull the rolling 5-game xG average from FBref for both teams, enter into Poisson, and generate match win/draw/loss and Over/Under probabilities in under 60 seconds.
Open Poisson Calculator →FBref provides per-90 xG for every outfield player across supported leagues — the most granular free dataset of its kind. These values are the inputs for the KiqIQ 5-step anytime goalscorer framework: player xG per 90 × minutes adjustment × opponent xGA multiplier → P(anytime goal) → compare to bookmaker price.
Goalscorer Framework Guide →FBref publishes PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) — the clearest proxy for pressing intensity and foul frequency. Low combined PPDA in a fixture = both teams pressing aggressively = more fouls = more cards. Use FBref PPDA to calibrate the cards model in the KiqIQ cards betting strategy guide.
Cards Strategy Guide →Convert FBref xG data into match probabilities — the bridge from raw statistics to a betting decision.
Kelly staking, EV calculation, accumulator value, arbitrage detection — the decision tools FBref doesn't provide.
BTTS, Asian Handicap, correct score, player props, and 14 competition-specific betting frameworks.
The framework for deciding whether a FBref-informed probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability.
The 5-step anytime goalscorer model that uses FBref per-90 xG as its primary input.
How to convert FBref season xG into expected points simulations for league winner and top-4 outright markets.
FBref supplies the raw statistical inputs — per-90 xG, PPDA, progressive passes, match logs. KiqIQ converts those inputs into probability models and betting decisions.
Pull rolling 5-game xG for/against for both teams. Get player xG per 90 for props. Check PPDA for pressing intensity.
Enter xG into Poisson calculator. Calculate player props probability. Apply EV calculator to compare with bookmaker.
Compare model probability to bookmaker implied. Calculate EV. Apply Kelly staking. Log bet in tracker.
Free to use — 28 calculators, 93+ guides, no registration required.
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