Find your break-even win rate, evaluate a betting record, and project profit at various win rates.
Break-even win rate
50.0%
At odds 2
Win rate for +0% ROI
50.0%
Target
Your current win rate
52.0%
52W / 100 bets
Your current ROI
+4.0%
At average odds
Projected P&L / 100 bets
+£40.00
At £10 avg stake
| Win Rate | ROI | P&L per 100 bets |
|---|---|---|
| 45.0% | -10.0% | £-100.00 |
| 50.0% ← break-even | +0.0% | +£0.00 |
| 52.0% | +4.0% | +£40.00 |
| 55.0% | +10.0% | +£100.00 |
| 60.0% | +20.0% | +£200.00 |
For informational and entertainment purposes only. Please gamble responsibly. 18+
Get AI-powered match analysis and betting insights.
Break-even win rate is the minimum percentage of bets you must win to avoid losing money at a given set of odds. At odds of 2.00, you need to win 50% of bets. At 1.80 odds, the threshold rises to 55.6%.
Look at ROI over 500+ bets, not just win rate. A 40% win rate at odds of 3.00 is profitable (+20% ROI). A 60% win rate at odds of 1.50 barely breaks even. Always require volume and consistent odds disclosure.
Sustained ROI above 5% over 500+ bets at similar odds is considered strong. Professional exchange traders target 3–8%. Retail bettors beating −3% to −5% (the house edge) are already outperforming most.
500 bets at consistent odds is a minimum for meaningful conclusions. Below that, variance dominates and results can mislead in either direction. Track everything from day one.
No — win rate is meaningless without knowing the odds. A 70% win rate at 1.30 odds loses money. A 35% win rate at 3.50 odds is profitable. ROI is the only figure that combines both.
