FBref (Football Reference) is a free football statistics database with per-90 xG, xA, progressive passes, pressing metrics where available, and match logs across major leagues. KiqIQ is the analytical decision layer: the Poisson model, calculators, and guides that turn FBref data into betting decisions. They are designed to be used together.
Last reviewed: 21 July 2026. Updates welcome, email hello@kiqiq.com if anything is out of date.
FBref is a genuinely useful football data resource. Its per-90 player statistics and team-level xG data are freely available and widely used. KiqIQ does not attempt to replicate this. Instead, it provides the analytical framework (Poisson model, EV calculator, bet tracker, guides) that converts FBref raw data into structured betting decisions. These tools are complementary: FBref is the data source, KiqIQ is the decision engine.
| Feature | KiqIQ | FBref |
|---|---|---|
| Football-specific analytical framework | ✓ | — |
| Poisson distribution model | ✓ | — |
| 38 free betting calculators | ✓ | — |
| Bet tracker with ROI and P&L (paid plans) | ✓ | — |
| Expected Value framework | ✓ | — |
| Kelly criterion staking | ✓ | — |
| 93+ strategy and competition guides | ✓ | — |
| Football glossary (130+ terms) | ✓ | — |
| Responsible gambling tools | ✓ | — |
| Deep per-90 player statistics (xG, xA, progressive passes) | — | ✓ |
| Match logs for every player and team | — | ✓ |
| Many seasons of historical data | — | ✓ |
| Squad-level shot maps and possession metrics | — | ✓ |
| Pressing metrics where available | — | ✓ |
| Set piece analysis and dead ball data | — | ✓ |
FBref publishes xG for and against for every team across all major leagues, updated after each matchday. These per-90 xG values are the direct inputs for the KiqIQ Poisson calculator. Pull the rolling 5-game xG average from FBref for both teams, enter into Poisson, and generate match win/draw/loss and Over/Under probabilities in under 60 seconds.
Open Poisson Calculator →FBref provides per-90 xG for many outfield players across supported leagues. These values are the inputs for the KiqIQ 5-step anytime goalscorer framework: player xG per 90 × minutes adjustment × opponent xGA multiplier → P(anytime goal) → compare to bookmaker price.
Goalscorer Framework Guide →FBref publishes PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) for competitions where the underlying data supports it, a useful proxy for pressing intensity and foul frequency. Low combined PPDA in a fixture generally means both teams are pressing aggressively, which tends to mean more fouls and more cards. Use FBref PPDA, where available, to calibrate the cards model in the KiqIQ cards betting strategy guide.
Cards Strategy Guide →Convert FBref xG data into match probabilities: the bridge from raw statistics to a betting decision.
Kelly staking, EV calculation, accumulator value, arbitrage detection: the decision tools FBref doesn't provide.
BTTS, Asian Handicap, correct score, player props, and 22 competition-specific betting frameworks.
The framework for deciding whether a FBref-informed probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability.
The 5-step anytime goalscorer model that uses FBref per-90 xG as its primary input.
How to convert FBref season xG into expected points simulations for league winner and top-4 outright markets.
FBref supplies the raw statistical inputs: per-90 xG, pressing metrics where available, progressive passes, match logs. KiqIQ converts those inputs into probability models and betting decisions.
Pull rolling 5-game xG for/against for both teams. Get player xG per 90 for props. Check PPDA for pressing intensity where available.
Enter xG into Poisson calculator. Calculate player props probability. Apply EV calculator to compare with bookmaker.
Compare model probability to bookmaker implied. Calculate EV. Apply Kelly staking. Log bet in tracker.
38 free calculators and 93+ guides. Bet tracker available on paid plans.
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